Tennessee vs North Carolina State 8/31/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Tennessee winning 51% of simulations, and North Carolina State 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Tennessee commits fewer turnovers in 56% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. North Carolina State wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tyler Bray is averaging 270 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Mike Glennon is averaging 260 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (25% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NCST +3 --- Over/Under line is 50

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